Jan 14 2010
It is said that about 85% of currency traders lose their money in the first three months of their trade, I think, in some cases higher than the market and can be hits 95%, most people say these losses are a result of shopping with no serious knowledge of the FOREX market I do not agree that the whole way.
For me, I think the most important reason is the trading style, including strategies for managing capital and risk management, another important reason is the congestion Up Your Mind with a lot of technical and fundamental tools and try to use them all at once.
Theoretically, all methods of analysis "wither this is a technical or fundamental" right way because they are only measuring tools, they differ in the accuracy of their results, and it depends on time, they just give you input and you're responsible use of these inputs is why I do not mind indicator you are using, simply try not to crowd your mind with many of them.
To move to a successful 15% of you do not need to know a lot of analysis; you do not need a lot of capital, too. I urge you to remain calm, focus, look at your map and go the way they tell you, and such advice. We will be discussing, not the actual steps you can take to get yourself out of loss and list your name in the list 15% of successful traders. The best resource for FOREX trading is MoneyTec MoneyTec, - Traders Community Forum, Chat. MoneyTec is an online community of trade, which contributes to the mature, intelligent & respectful discussion in a positive & safe environment for everyone.
My strategy depends on simplicity, as only 2 include indicators on the technical part. Let's see how it will work:
a) Money Management:
1. First of all, count your money, and I mean the money that you can afford to lose "is usually no. 1 in the investment, as well as relieve stress on you."
2. Solve your monthly average expectation of the return of the money: This enables you to calculate the average daily and weekly returns, weekly and daily targets.
3. Decide what you do with your income if you achieve your goals, how much you get out of it, and how much you will be reinvested: That would be enough to have a permanent and stable trading strategy.
4. Most importantly, limit the size of the transaction; it should not exceed 5% of the balance, if you want to survive in this market.
That's all we need from money management right now, this is a huge topic to participate in.
b) Risk management:
1. Limit your loss: All the money that you can afford the losses from the investment budget.
2. According to the daily and weekly goal, you can limit your daily and weekly losses, so if it touches, which limits you to stop trading until another time period, risking $ 1 to $ 3 the expected profit is good, and 1: 2 is taken.
3. Keep in mind that "If you lose the day, it means that you have lost profits that day arrived Whole month" Do not try and squeeze themselves on the day after to get double the profit, otherwise you will ruin your trading system.
c) Technical trading system:
This trading system is a common old trading system has been used to use it at random, we will use it in a more modern way, it consists of:
1. 2 exponential moving average (EMA) values of 7 - 15.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI) as a tool for confirmation.
Well, now we have all the settings, it is not difficult to understand that the system normally used traders: "After the EMA-7 cross EMA-15 you go with him, so if it is a cross-up, you buy, otherwise If you are selling, it is absolutely true, but you need to confirm this signal from another instrument as the "RSI", once you get moving averages the signal that you check your line RSI direction and value, if it is positive, you can start trading, if you do not should be ignored until we get a positive signal that all is well, your Stop Loss if EMA-15 back on the cross EMA-7, and your stop loss will be 20% of your available daily losses that you have decided to do, so you have the opportunity to trade at 5 times a day, if you lost all hands.
Keep in mind that you should not put all the size limits of trade "that you decide to set-up time money management section in just one transaction, you may need to support trade in later or add more funds to it.
The last thing we can say is the classic advice "Do not be greedy and do not feel panic, is the most attractive feature we have in the Forex, take the points and stop the loss of profit.
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Aug 31 2009
If the trade goes wrong, you know exactly how much you are going to lose. The beauty of this trade is that your risk is limited and determined. Remember that money management should always be at the forefront of your trading decisions. Pulling of this trade requires identifying the setup, knowing the forex broker game plan and staying one step ahead of them. First practice on your
forex demo account. Get good
forex training.
How do you identify the setup? Look for one way trending market. Overbought readings and obvious targets of round numbers! Know your forex broker’s game plan. You know that the forex broker wants to trip stop losses above say 1.5000 GBP/USD price level and collect some quick pips. As soon as the stops are tripped the price will quickly drop back to the previous levels. Learn
swing trading.
How are you going to set your orders? Sell order lot#1 at 1.5000. Sell order lot#2 at 1.5005. Sell order lot#3 at 1.5010. Set the stops for all these three lots at 20 pips above the figure or 1.520. Set take profit for 2/3 of these lots at 5 pips below the figure or 1.4995.
You will want to ask at this point what happened to the money management rules that are so important for traders. It is better to take quick profit rather than risk losing it all waiting for a deeper correction because of the high probability of the trade working out in your favor.
Remember you are trying to take advantage of the forex broker’s actions and not predicting the future. The expected price action is a spike meant to trip stops than a quick decline and that is what you are going to exploit.
Now let’s use an example to make clear how the big figure trade works. Suppose the forex broker makes a quick move beyond 1.5000. The stops go off. The price trades briefly over 1.5000, only a couple of pips to print a high of 1.5006. Only two of your orders get filled. The price quickly drops under the big figure.
When the price reaches 1.4995, your profit take order for the two lots is quickly executed. You make a quick sure shot profit of 15 pips. Not bad for ten seconds of work.
Be prepared ahead of time in order to trade the big figure. Get out if the trade does not work out immediately say something like 15 minutes. The price action is telling you that it is being supported by some real money demand rather than a broker in such a case.
Although the moves are similar near most round numbers, this trade works best at the end of an overbought intra day trending move coupled with psychological numbers like 1.2, 1.5, 2.00 etc.
Remember that you are not trying to predict the future like a reversal or continuation. You are only trying to ride the coat tails of your forex broker. The spike might continue higher for another 50 pips. It might top out and collapse.
You are only in the trade for a low risk profit of 10-15 pips that the forex broker is generous enough to cough up for you. Generally try to trade only close to the big figure since that is the one hiding stops.
Aug 30 2009
Retail forex market is different from the forex interbank market. Retail forex market is full of small traders. The trade size is usually so small that the retail forex broker is at a disadvantage. The retail forex broker is forced to act as the retail trader’s sole counterpart. Learn
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When the liquidity is good, making artificial market for their clients is not an issue for forex brokers since they simply offset their risk in the interbank market. However, in illiquid times this represents a great problem for the retail forex broker and an opportunity for the small traders.
The Big Figure Trade is an example of how you can take advantage of your retail forex broker limitations. As a trader, we all know every now and then the market will test a critical level.
It can be a Fibonacci level, a trendline or maybe even a big figure. The actual level is not important. The forex market will often reach a critical level where most of the traders believe that it cannot go higher during sharp, one sided intra day price moves.
Traders initiate short positions near that level. Don’t forget price moves in the forex market tend to be self fulfilling. Usually there is a big round number that short sellers set their stops above.
This is the time when the forex dealers mount their attack on the stops. The short sellers are confident that the market is overbought enough and it will not have the energy to push past the psychologically important number.
Now this is what happens when the forex broker mount an attack on the stops. The typical price action is for the price to fail near the figure a couple of times before the forex brokers produce a quick coordinated attack on the number quickly setting off the number lying above.
In an instant the rate is below the big figure. Most traders have this happen to them a number of times. A quick blip and your stops are busted. The price action than promptly crashes in the expected direction immediately!
Nothing is more aggravating to a trader than this setup knowing that your money was quickly taken away. This trade works especially well for the retail forex brokers with their fixed spreads and guarantees force them to make a market where there is none.
When the forex broker pushes the rate higher and trips stops above the big figure, the action is so quick and one sided that in the interbank market virtually no trading is possible at those prices.
Spreads widen, typically only the offer side of the quote runs higher since no forex dealer would want to be long above the figure. Although a true bank dealer may not be able to get the fill at those prices but you can.
As long as the rate traded is there most forex brokers would fill you at those prices just as they would have if they were filling your stops instead. Because of the fixed spreads and the guarantees the forex broker is forced to take the order.
Aug 29 2009
A typical forex pattern that can be exploited by the forex traders is the Friday to Sunday price extension. The simple assumption is that price will open the new trading week Sunday NY time in the same prevailing direction as they closed on the Friday evening.Know the
forex market.Understand
forex charts. Learn about
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After the weekend, the Sydney traders generally do not have the oomph or desire to reverse any meaningful decline seen in NY. They are therefore happy to see the prices steadily drift in the direction NY left them until Tokyo comes online.
Just keep this in your mind that don’t expect for a miracle reversal in the direction of the price action on Sunday if you have a losing position. Once Tokyo and London enter the market, the direction may be reversed. But often by then traders nursing losing positions will have already been stopped out.
After a Friday with extreme volatility, however, this typical pattern is enhanced and turns into a low risk trade opportunity for traders. The reason is simple. On economic data heavy Fridays, prices usually end up several hundred pips away from where they started the day.
This leaves the Sydney dealers with a mess on their hands by the time they start trading early Monday morning. As they go through their motions of processing the outstanding orders that the moves in NY have created, this activity shows up as a Sunday morning bump.
Suppose a big economic number is released on Friday morning in NY. It causes the currency prices to jump wildly in both directions. Eventually the market settles for a direction and proceeds to follow it for the rest of the day.
Once European traders go home, liquidity quickly dries up and the NY traders begin to plan their weekends. In this 3-5 pm window, the price will slowly trickle in the same direction until the close of the week.
The market is too thin to stage any kind of meaningful reversal. This window of opportunity enables traders to safely enter the market in anticipation of a Sunday extension.
When Sydney opens the new trading week, the move is quickly extended further for 10-50 pips before settling in for a Tokyo open. By entering yourself in the general direction of the market during the 3-5 PM window, you can position yourself ahead of the market.
Trading the Friday to Sunday extension is simple, yet highly effective. This high probability outcome combined with a limited downside gives this trade great risk-return characteristic.
All that you have to do is to close your eyes, enter in the prevailing direction of the market during the 3-5 PM window and return on Sunday evening NY time to collect your 10-30 pips. Talk about making money while you sleep.
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