Apr 20 2011
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Mar 23 2010
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High Velocity Market Master and get your FREE COPIES of the Ultimate Day Trading System and the Universal Risk & Money Management Tool just now. This day trading system can trade forex, stocks and futures on any timeframe. Do markets rest? When the markets consolidate, accumulate or go sideways, it is like markets taking a rest and sleeping. There are two main reasons why the market starts to consolidate, accumulate, bracket or go sideways.
The first main reason for the market to consolidate, accumulate or go sideways is when the world is waiting for a fundamental announcement and trades stop trading in anticipation of a major market move or breakout after the announcement. When the traders stop trading, the market starts to consolidate in a tight range or what you call a small trading range. These smaller trading ranges maybe between 20 to 60 pips! They can be seen on smaller timeframes such as the 30 minutes or 60 minutes charts.
The second main reason why a market may want to consolidate could be due to a country trying to intervene in the currency market and wanting its currency to trade within a tight range for economic reasons. Imports exports can be an important factor for a country's economy. Sometimes countries want to spur imports or exports, for this reason that country may decide to intervene in the foreign exchange market.
For example, Japan is a major exporting country in the world. Its economy is export based. Japan may want its currency Yen (JPY) to stabilize between 110 and 115 yen to the US Dollar (USD). This is a 500 pips range. Japanese Central Bank (JCB) may feel that by intervening in the currency market, it can boost its exports making them more competitive.
In such cases of a central bank intervention, the market may go in a sideways movement for an extended period of time that may last from weeks to months. Large trading ranges such as these between 150 to 500 pips can extend for a longer period of time such as weeks or even a few months. These trading ranges can be observed on larger timeframes such as the four to eight hourly charts or daily charts.
Now most of the time, the market is going up or down or sideways between two horizontal levels. Markets get locked in such consolidation movement for 60-70% of the time. As a trader, you should learn how to trade ranges. Learning how to trade these consolidation movements can be financially rewarding. There are three trading strategies that you can use to trade consolidation, accumulation, bracketing or sideways movement in the currency market. Knowing this can help you a lot in your daily trading!
Mar 14 2010
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High Velocity Market Master and get your FREE COPIES of the Ultimate Day Trading System and the Universal Risk & Money Management Tool just now! Sometimes, the market gets locked in a large trading range extending from 150 to 300 pips. These large trading ranges get formed when central banks try to intervene in the foreign exchange market in order to stabilize their currencies within a certain range. This is done to boost exports or discourage imports.
First, you need to identify a trading range using an ADX (Average Directional Index). If the reading on the ADX chart is below 20, it means that the market is consolidating. You can further confirm it with the DMI (Directional Movement Index). After confirming that the market is in a consolidating phase and trading between a range of something like 150 to 300 pips, you are ready for applying this trading strategy. When the market rallies towards the resistance level, big players like the large banks and financial institutions enter the market and start selling aggressively creating more sellers than buyers. Consequently prices fall.
Now get ready for selling near the resistance level as the market nears that level. Switch to a smaller timeframe like the 30 minutes or 60 minutes chart and look for the bearish candlestick pattern like the Hanging Man to appear. Appearance of the Hanging Man is a signal that the uptrend is about to end and the prices are about to start falling or the market is about to take U turn. Go short once you get that signal.
Now switch to the larger timeframe like the daily chart and look for the support on the trading range taking the ride back down to the support. Once the prices approach the support level, big banks and financial institutions will again jump into the market and this time start buying. This buying pressure will force the market to take a U turn again.
Again switch to a smaller timeframe like the 30 minutes or 60 minutes chart and wait for a bullish candlestick pattern like the Hammer to appear. Appearance of a Hammer signals that the market is about to take a U turn again. Once you spot the bullish candlestick pattern like the Hammer, go long.
This is a simple trading strategy that can be summarized by saying buy at the support and sell at the resistance. The beauty of this trading strategy lies in the fact that in case of a breakout taking place, there will be no candlestick pattern appearing telling you to buy or sell, this way you can trade the breakout as well. Trading a breakout can be highly profitable.
Aug 28 2009
What is a range? Generally a range is a type of price action bounded on the top by a resistance level and on the bottom by a support level. Ranges are periods when the markets move up and down without any clear directional trend. Some would characterize the price action during a range as sideways or horizontal.Know how to read
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It is between these support and resistance levels that the range trading opportunities lies. Range trading simply involves identifying and profiting upon the turns within a horizontal trading range.
Range traders do not let their profits run the way the trend traders do. Why it is so? These turns are also considered swings so the techniques of range trading are often an important component of swing trading strategies.
The primary reason is that the upside in range trading is necessarily capped at the other side of the range. It is because of this fact that some traders especially those that trade trends consider it to be much lower probability method.
Range traders can overcome this dilemma and increase their potential upside by setting a minimum threshold in terms of the height of the ranges they are willing to trade. For example, a 20 pip range that forms on the GBP/USD pair during the Asian Session is not really worth range trading.
In simple terms, 20 pips potential profit is not sufficient to justify the risk of range trading. The height of this range is too small to make it worthwhile as a range trading opportunity. However, a 300 pip range can definitely offer an abundance of good potential range trading opportunities.
If the stop losses are always placed just beyond the support or resistance level from which a range is bounded, a profit target on the other side of the range would offer a higher probability trade from a risk/reward perspective. Therefore a prudent range trading criterion should include some minimum height of the range.
Once the height of the range is established by at least two approximate touches of both the support and the resistance preparation for range trading should begin. Most range traders will use the common horizontal lines on their charts as the support and resistance for the range.
Bollinger bands can be very helpful in trading ranges that do not have strictly defined upper and lower bounds. You can also use the dynamic bands like the Bollinger bands to outline these levels.
But you should be careful with the slope of the simple moving average (SMA) running through the middle of the band to ensure that it is flat or near flat when using the Bollinger bands to define a range. Only then you can be confident that a horizontal range is indeed in place.
Aug 27 2009
You can simply use common oscillators like the Stochastics or RSI (Relative Strength Indicator) to help identify potential turns at or near support or resistance when you have established a range. Learn
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A Stochastic indicator identifies swing, tops and bottoms. The Stochastic indicator measures the position of the currency pair compared with its most recent trading range. You must have heard the terminology of the stochastic indicator being overbought or oversold.
As the currency pair price rises, the closing price tends to be closer to the extreme highs of the currency pair. Specifically a stochastic indicator measures the closing price of the currency price and it’s high or low during a specific number of days or weeks.
The closing price tends to fall on average closer and closer to the extreme lows when the price falls. Stochastic indicator points our overbought or oversold conditions and is considered to be a highly accurate method of picking the tops and bottoms.
Depending on where the price closes during a given period, the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) is designed to indicate the market’s current strength or weakness. The RSI is plotted on a 0-100 scale.
The buy and sell signal levels will vary depending on the length you choose for the RSI calculation. A buy signal is usually generated when the RSI moves up through the lower band usually at 30. Similarly a sell signal is usually generated when the RSI moves down through the upper band usually at 70.
A shorter length time frame will result in the RSI being more volatile. A longer length time frame results in a less volatile RSI. However, most prices seem to change direction at 30 and 70. However, note that this is not a hard and fast rule.
How do you know when to buy and when to sell in range trading? The most common method of reading these oscillators is to identify the point at which they cross the line exiting overbought or oversold which signals a possible turn in the direction of price action.
Beside oscillators another turn confirmation can be found at the break of an intra range trendline. Although using a trendline break confirmation can result into a late trade entry, it is still a valuable confirmation that the turn in the range has indeed occurred.
Range trading can be an effective method of trading when the forex market is not trending. A tighter stop loss can then be placed on the other side of the trendline break as opposed to the other side of the range support or resistance.
During the time the forex market is bouncing back and forth between horizontal resistance and support, the traders can take benefit of the range trading methods. If the established range has sufficient height, range trading the bounces can be an effective trading method under these non trending market conditions.
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